Israel is Provoking Three More Russias for the US

The recent joint patrol of Chinese and Russian bombers in the North American Air Defense Identification Zone serves as a direct response to frequent U.S. provocations in the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea. Indirectly, it also warns of the severe consequences of American policy toward Israel, which could provoke the Arab world into forming a solid anti-hegemony alliance equivalent in size to three Russias.

Firstly, the most straightforward interpretation of this joint patrol is that China is giving the U.S. a taste of its own medicine.

The U.S. often justifies its naval operations in the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea as “exercising the right to freedom of navigation.” Now, China is taking similar action in response.

Previously, the Chinese Air Force faced two major challenges in responding to such provocations: the capability to undertake such missions and the resolve to do so. However, with this recent operation, China has demonstrated both the ability and the determination to confront the U.S. directly, a reality the U.S. must now acknowledge.

Secondly, this tit-for-tat extends beyond the military domain into the international landscape.

American strategists like Zbigniew Brzezinski have long warned that a China-Russia alliance would be a nightmare for the U.S., and this prophecy is now fulfilling itself.

Strategic bombers, which serve as platforms for nuclear strikes, play a crucial role in a nation’s military power. Although this joint patrol is primarily symbolic, it signifies that military cooperation between China and Russia has reached a strategic level. This cooperation has evolved from a willingness to concrete action, making this joint patrol particularly significant as a warning to the US.

Previously, China rarely engaged in such deep military cooperation with other countries, China and Russia share a long border and have a history of both cooperation and conflict. The current level of trust and deep military cooperation between the two countries is largely a result of the comprehensive pressure exerted by the US on both nations.

Despite the White House may no longer want to stay on this highway to Brzezinski’s nightmare, its two close allies, Israel and the UK, may become obstacles and inertia.

Israel, once known for its prowess in early Middle Eastern wars, now faces a new reality due to technological advancements and proliferation. In conflicts with Palestine, Yemen and now the upcoming Lebanon, Israel’s limited territorial depth makes it impossible to strike others without suffering retaliatory damage. In this context, Israel is eager to draw the U.S. directly into its regional conflicts. This would inevitably lead to further unification of the Arab world against common adversaries, as same as Brzezinski’s fear of the China-Russia alliance.

As of 2023, the 22 Arab countries have a combined population of approximately 470 million, equivalent to three additional Russias in terms of demographic scale. This would further stretch American forces into the Middle East, diverting its focus from Eastern Europe and the First Island Chain in East Asia. Provoking three additional Russias in these strategically weaker areas is disadvantageous to U.S. strategic interests, potentially providing new opportunities for China and Russia to break the deadlock.

Another potential troublemaker for the U.S. is the UK. Last week, the new British Army chief, General Roland Walker, emphasized that the UK must prepare for war with Russia, China, and even Iran within the next three years. This reflects the UK’s lingering delusions of global hegemony. As a former maritime power, the UK benefited greatly from offshore balancing. However, after World War II and the dissolution of its global colonial system, the UK no longer possesses the capability to execute such a global strategy. It mainly follows the U.S. to maintain the illusion of its global influence. Many continental countries have seen through this facade. The UK’s loud but ineffective support for Ukraine has made its provocations seem insignificant, even to Iran. This has led some American politicians to question the UK’s policies. For instance, Trump’s new partner Vance stated that the UK might be the first nuclear-armed Islamist country, indicating the need for U.S. vigilance. Therefore, besides focusing on Russia, China, and Iran, the UK should also heed the evaluations from its allies to gain a more objective understanding of its current global standing.

In conclusion, the comprehensive U.S. pressure on China and Russia, coupled with its tacit endorsement of Israel’s excessive use of force, is gradually realizing Brzezinski’s worst fears. Compared to the broader Arab world provoked by American global strategy, the joint patrol of Chinese and Russian bombers over Alaska is perhaps the mildest warning signal of all.